Monday, May 11, 2015

What is stocastic indicator?

Stochastic Oscillator

Introduction

Developed by George C. Lane in the late 1950s, the Stochastic Oscillator is a momentum indicator that shows the location of the close relative to the high-low range over a set number of periods. According to an interview with Lane, the Stochastic Oscillator “doesn't follow price, it doesn't follow volume or anything like that. It follows the speed or the momentum of price. As a rule, the momentum changes direction before price.” As such, bullish and bearish divergences in the Stochastic Oscillator can be used to foreshadow reversals. This was the first, and most important, signal that Lane identified. Lane also used this oscillator to identify bull and bear set-ups to anticipate a future reversal. Because the Stochastic Oscillator is range bound, is also useful for identifying overbought and oversold levels.

Calculation

%K = (Current Close - Lowest Low)/(Highest High - Lowest Low) * 100
%D = 3-day SMA of %K

Lowest Low = lowest low for the look-back period
Highest High = highest high for the look-back period
%K is multiplied by 100 to move the decimal point two places

The default setting for the Stochastic Oscillator is 14 periods, which can be days, weeks, months or an intraday timeframe. A 14-period %K would use the most recent close, the highest high over the last 14 periods and the lowest low over the last 14 periods. %D is a 3-day simple moving average of %K. This line is plotted alongside %K to act as a signal or trigger line.
Stochastics - Spreadsheet 1
Stochastics - Chart 1

Interpretation

The Stochastic Oscillator measures the level of the close relative to the high-low range over a given period of time. Assume that the highest high equals 110, the lowest low equals 100 and the close equals 108. The high-low range is 10, which is the denominator in the %K formula. The close less the lowest low equals 8, which is the numerator. 8 divided by 10 equals .80 or 80%. Multiply this number by 100 to find %K %K would equal 30 if the close was at 103 (.30 x 100). The Stochastic Oscillator is above 50 when the close is in the upper half of the range and below 50 when the close is in the lower half. Low readings (below 20) indicate that price is near its low for the given time period. High readings (above 80) indicate that price is near its high for the given time period. The IBM example above shows three 14-day ranges (yellow areas) with the closing price at the end of the period (red dotted) line. The Stochastic Oscillator equals 91 when the close was at the top of the range. The Stochastic Oscillator equals 15 when the close was near the bottom of the range. The close equals 57 when the close was in the middle of the range.

Fast, Slow or Full

There are three versions of the Stochastic Oscillator available on SharpCharts. The Fast Stochastic Oscillator is based on George Lane's original formulas for %K and %D. %K in the fast version that appears rather choppy. %D is the 3-day SMA of %K. In fact, Lane used %D to generate buy or sell signals based on bullish and bearish divergences. Lane asserts that a %D divergence is the “only signal which will cause you to buy or sell.” Because %D in the Fast Stochastic Oscillator is used for signals, the Slow Stochastic Oscillator was introduced to reflect this emphasis. The Slow Stochastic Oscillator smooths %K with a 3-day SMA, which is exactly what %D is in the Fast Stochastic Oscillator. Notice that %K in the Slow Stochastic Oscillator equals %D in the Fast Stochastic Oscillator (chart 2).
Stochastics - Chart 2
Fast Stochastic Oscillator:
  • Fast %K = %K basic calculation
  • Fast %D = 3-period SMA of Fast %K
Slow Stochastic Oscillator:
  • Slow %K = Fast %K smoothed with 3-period SMA
  • Slow %D = 3-period SMA of Slow %K
The Full Stochastic Oscillator is a fully customizable version of the Slow Stochastic Oscillator. Users can set the look-back period, the number of periods to slow %K and the number of periods for the %D moving average. The default parameters were used in these examples: Fast Stochastic Oscillator (14,3), Slow Stochastic Oscillator (14,3) and Full Stochastic Oscillator (14,3,3).
Full Stochastic Oscillator:
  • Full %K = Fast %K smoothed with X-period SMA
  • Full %D = X-period SMA of Full %K

Overbought Oversold

As a bound oscillator, the Stochastic Oscillator makes it easy to identify overbought and oversold levels. The oscillator ranges from zero to one hundred. No matter how fast a security advances or declines, the Stochastic Oscillator will always fluctuate within this range. Traditional settings use 80 as the overbought threshold and 20 as the oversold threshold. These levels can be adjusted to suit analytical needs and security characteristics. Readings above 80 for the 20-day Stochastic Oscillator would indicate that the underlying security was trading near the top of its 20-day high-low range. Readings below 20 occur when a security is trading at the low end of its high-low range.
Before looking at some chart examples, it is important to note that overbought readings are not necessarily bearish. Securities can become overbought and remain overbought during a strong uptrend. Closing levels that are consistently near the top of the range indicate sustained buying pressure. In a similar vein, oversold readings are not necessarily bullish. Securities can also become oversold and remain oversold during a strong downtrend. Closing levels consistently near the bottom of the range indicate sustained selling pressure. It is, therefore, important to identify the bigger trend and trade in the direction of this trend. Look for occasional oversold readings in an uptrend and ignore frequent overbought readings. Similarly, look for occasional overbought readings in a strong downtrend and ignore frequent oversold readings.
Chart 3 shows Yahoo! (YHOO) with the Full Stochastic Oscillator (20,5,5). A longer look-back period (20 days versus 14) and longer moving averages for smoothing (5 versus 3) produce a less sensitive oscillator with fewer signals. Yahoo was trading between 14 and 18 from July 2009 until April 2010. Such trading ranges are well suited for the Stochastic Oscillator. Dips below 20 warn of oversold conditions that could foreshadow a bounce. Moves above 80 warn of overbought conditions that could foreshadow a decline. Notice how the oscillator can move above 80 and remain above 80 (orange highlights). Similarly, the oscillator moved below 20 and sometimes remained below 20. The indicator is both overbought AND strong when above 80. A subsequent move below 80 is needed to signal some sort of reversal or failure at resistance (red dotted lines). Conversely, the oscillator is both oversold and weak when below 20. A move above 20 is needed to show an actual upturn and successful support test (green dotted lines).
Stochastics - Chart 3
Chart 4 shows Crown Castle (CCI) with a breakout in July to start an uptrend. The Full Stochastic Oscillator (20,5,5) was used to identify oversold readings. Overbought readings were ignored because the bigger trend was up. Trading in the direction of the bigger trend improves the odds. The Full Stochastic Oscillator moved below 20 in early September and early November. Subsequent moves back above 20 signaled an upturn in prices (green dotted line) and continuation of the bigger uptrend.
Stochastics - Chart 4
Chart 5 shows Autozone (AZO) with a support break in May 2009 that started a downtrend. With a downtrend in force, the Full Stochastic Oscillator (10,3,3) was used to identify overbought readings to foreshadow a potential reversal. Oversold readings were ignored because of the bigger downtrend. The shorter look-back period (10 versus 14) increases the sensitivity of the oscillator for more overbought readings. For reference, the Full Stochastic Oscillator (20,5,5) is also shown. Notice that this less sensitive version did not become overbought in August, September and October. It is sometimes necessary to increase sensitivity to generate signals.
Stochastics - Chart 5

Bull Bear Divergences

Divergences form when a new high or low in price is not confirmed by the Stochastic Oscillator. A bullish divergence forms when price records a lower low, but the Stochastic Oscillator forms a higher low. This shows less downside momentum that could foreshadow a bullish reversal. A bearish divergence forms when price records a higher high, but the Stochastic Oscillator forms a lower high. This shows less upside momentum that could foreshadow a bearish reversal. Once a divergence takes hold, chartists should look for a confirmation to signal an actual reversal. A bearish divergence can be confirmed with a support break on the price chart or a Stochastic Oscillator break below 50, which is the centerline. A bullish divergence can be confirmed with a resistance break on the price chart or a Stochastic Oscillator break above 50.
50 is an important level to watch. The Stochastic Oscillator moves between zero and one hundred, which makes 50 the centerline. Think of it as the 50 yard line in football. The offense has a higher chance of scoring when it crosses the 50 yard line. The defense has an edge as long as it prevents the offense from crossing the 50 yard line. A Stochastic Oscillator cross above 50 signals that prices are trading in the upper half of their high-low range for the given look-back period. This suggests that the cup is half full. Conversely, a cross below 50 means prices are trading in the bottom half of the given look-back period. This suggests that the cup is half empty.
Chart 6 shows International Gaming Tech (IGT) with a bullish divergence in February-March 2010. Notice how the stock moved to a new low, but the Stochastic Oscillator formed a higher low. There are three steps to confirming this higher low. The first is a signal line cross and/or move back above 20. A signal line cross occurs when %K (black) crosses %D (red). This provides the earliest entry possible. The second is a move above 50, which puts prices in the upper half of the Stochastic range. The third is a resistance breakout on the price chart. Notice how the Stochastic Oscillator moved above 50 in late March and remained above 50 until late May.
Stochastics - Chart 6
Chart 7 shows Kohls (KSS) with a bearish divergence in April 2010. The stock moved to higher highs in early and late April, but the Stochastic Oscillator peaked in late March and formed lower highs. The signal line crosses and moves below 80 did not provide good early signals in this case because KSS kept moving higher. The Stochastic Oscillator moved below 50 for the second signal and the stock broke support for the third signal. As KSS shows, early signals are not always clean and simple. Signal line crosses, moves below 80 and moves above 20 are frequent and prone to whipsaw. Even after KSS broke support and the Stochastic Oscillator moved below 50, the stock bounced back above 57 and the Stochastic Oscillator bounced back above 50 before the stock continued sharply lower.
Stochastics - Chart 7

Bull Bear Set-ups

George Lane identified another form of divergence to predict bottoms or tops. A bull set-up is basically the inverse of a bullish divergence. The underlying security forms a lower high, but the Stochastic Oscillator forms a higher high. Even though the stock could not exceed its prior high, the higher high in the Stochastic Oscillator shows strengthening upside momentum. The next decline is then expected to result in a tradable bottom. Chart 8 shows Network Appliance (NTAP) with a bull set-up in June 2009. The stock formed a lower high as the Stochastic Oscillator forged a higher high. This higher high shows strength in upside momentum. Remember that this is a set-up, not a signal. The set-up foreshadows a tradable low in the near future. NTAP declined below its June low and the Stochastic Oscillator moved below 20 to become oversold. Traders could have acted when the Stochastic Oscillator moved above its signal line, above 20 or above 50. Alternatively, NTAP subsequently broke resistance with a strong move.
Stochastics - Chart 8
A bear set-up occurs when the security forms a higher low, but the Stochastic Oscillator forms a lower low. Even though the stock held above its prior low, the lower low in the Stochastic Oscillator shows increasing downside momentum. The next advance is expected to result in an important peak. Chart 9 shows Motorola (MOT) with a bear set-up in November 2009. The stock formed a higher low in late-November and early December, but the Stochastic Oscillator formed a lower low with a move below 20. This showed strong downside momentum. The subsequent bounce did not last long as the stock quickly peaked. Notice that the Stochastic Oscillator did not make it back above 80 and turned down below its signal line in mid December.
Stochastics - Chart 9

Conclusions

While momentum oscillators are best suited for trading ranges, they can also be used with securities that trend, provided the trend takes on a zigzag format. Pullbacks are part of uptrends that zigzag higher. Bounces are part of downtrends that zigzag lower. In this regard, the Stochastic Oscillator can be used to identify opportunities in harmony with the bigger trend.
The indicator can also be used to identify turns near support or resistance. Should a security trade near support with an oversold Stochastic Oscillator, look for a break above 20 to signal an upturn and successful support test. Conversely, should a security trade near resistance with an overbought Stochastic Oscillator, look for a break below 80 to signal a downturn and resistance failure.
The settings on the Stochastic Oscillator depend on personal preferences, trading style and timeframe. A shorter look-back period will produce a choppy oscillator with many overbought and oversold readings. A longer look-back period will provide a smoother oscillator with fewer overbought and oversold readings.
Like all technical indicators, it is important to use the Stochastic Oscillator in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Volume, support/resistance and breakouts can be used to confirm or refute signals produced by the Stochastic Oscillator.

Using with SharpCharts

As noted above, there are three versions of the Stochastic Oscillator available as an indicator on SharpCharts. The default settings are as follows: Fast Stochastic Oscillator (14,3), Slow Stochastic Oscillator (14,3) and Full Stochastic Oscillator (14,3,3). The look-back period (14) is used for the basic %K calculation. Remember, %K in the Fast Stochastic Oscillator is unsmoothed and %K in the Slow Stochastic Oscillator is smoothed with a 3-day SMA. The “3” in the Fast and Slow Stochastic Oscillator settings (14,3) sets the moving average period for %D. Chartists looking for maximum flexibility can simply choose the Full Stochastic Oscillator to set the look-back period, the smoothing factor for %K and the moving average for %D. The indicator can be placed above, below or behind the actual price plot. Placing the Stochastic Oscillator behind the price allows users to easily match indicator swings with price swings. Click here for a live example.
Stochastics - Chart 10
Stochastics - SharpCharts

Suggested Scans

Stochastic Oscillator Oversold Upturn: This scan starts with stocks that are trading above their 200-day moving average to focus on those in a bigger uptrend. Of these, the scan then looks for stocks with a Stochastic Oscillator that turned up from an oversold level (below 20).
Stochastic Oscillator Overbought Downturn: This scan starts with stocks that are trading below their 200-day moving average to focus on those in a bigger downtrend. Of these, the scan then looks for stocks with a Stochastic Oscillator that turned down after an overbought reading (above 80).

Further Study

Murphy's book has a chapter devoted to momentum oscillators and their various uses. Murphy covers the pros and cons as well as some examples specific to the Stochastic Oscillator.
Pring's book shows the basics of momentum indicators by covering divergences, crossovers and other signals. There are two more chapters covering specific momentum indicators with plenty of examples.

Many people lose in forex, it is estimated that over 95% of traders therefore vanguard system are forex robot, for years I have researched and developed a unique strategy in forex trading, a strategy used by banks, mutual funds and other institutions worldwide, and is now at your fingertips is the high frequency trading




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Wednesday, May 6, 2015

Moving Average Convergence Divergence - MACD

DEFINITION OF 'MOVING AVERAGE CONVERGENCE DIVERGENCE - MACD'

A trend-following momentum indicator that shows the relationship between two moving averages of prices. The MACD is calculated by subtracting the 26-day exponential moving average (EMA) from the 12-day EMA. A nine-day EMA of the MACD, called the "signal line", is then plotted on top of the MACD, functioning as a trigger for buy and sell signals.



There are three common methods used to interpret the MACD:
1. Crossovers - As shown in the chart above, when the MACD falls below the signal line, it is a bearish signal, which indicates that it may be time to sell. Conversely, when the MACD rises above the signal line, the indicator gives a bullish signal, which suggests that the price of the asset is likely to experience upward momentum. Many traders wait for a confirmed cross above the signal line before entering into a position to avoid getting getting "faked out" or entering into a position too early, as shown by the first arrow.
2. Divergence - When the security price diverges from the MACD. It signals the end of the current trend.
3. Dramatic rise - When the MACD rises dramatically - that is, the shorter moving average pulls away from the longer-term moving average - it is a signal that the security is overbought and will soon return to normal levels.
Traders also watch for a move above or below the zero line because this signals the position of the short-term average relative to the long-term average. When the MACD is above zero, the short-term average is above the long-term average, which signals upward momentum. The opposite is true when the MACD is below zero. As you can see from the chart above, the zero line often acts as an area of support and resistance for the indicator.
Are you interested in using the MACD for your trades? Check out our own Primer On The MACD and Spotting Trend Reversals With MACD for more information!

Many people lose in forex, it is estimated that over 95% of traders therefore vanguard system are forex robot, for years I have researched and developed a unique strategy in forex trading, a strategy used by banks, mutual funds and other institutions worldwide, and is now at your fingertips is the high frequency trading



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Tuesday, April 14, 2015

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Tuesday, June 10, 2014

HFT SYSTEM FX ROBOT MT4

               
"HFT SYSTEM FX ROBOT" can predict the price movements of a few seconds before they even happen! 

It is not magic but an advanced IT technology that enables the robot to "see" where the money goes; Therefore, you will always be on the right side of the market - on the winning side. YOU CAN SEE...

  The robot knows the future = riddles! 
   Exciting, is not it? Imagine this is your own where "FX ROBOT Hft system" is working. Nowhere else you can see in real time the transactions occurred at the time standing and close! Could not be more excited to see how the money is right in front of your eyes!

                                                                           


Every day fortunes are made and lost in the Forex. This form of investment is very attractive because you can make lots of money very quickly. Forex is a genuine, legal way to make money. That said, you can also lose money. 
But Forex is not a casino game. In a casino, is pure luck if you win or not - unless you are a high stakes player playing cards where bluffing and other skills can be used as we all know. 
In Forex, if you play in a casino, you definitely lost. However, if you have the best forex software as "HFT SYSTEM FX ROBOT" can win, but only if you play well and do "bet" not directly, but watch the market all the time.           


REMEMBER: 

90% -95% of all traders lose money!

This is a very well known and publicized statistic. And it's true! About 90-95% of traders lose money on Forex, especially beginners. The reasons are manifold: greed, lack of Forex education, no consistent forex system or strategy. It's usually no more complicated than going to Las Vegas all excited with some cash in his pocket and little common sense or skill in your head! The casino wins. You lose.
So why, when the odds seem against you, no Forex still attract many new traders every day?
Because most people rely on their good fortune and are willing to take the risk of quick gains. But the veteran, experienced Forex trader does not compare himself with a player not a person in Las Vegas casino. For the experienced trader is an art, skill, and with patience and with the "SYSTEM HFT FX ROBOT" a win most of the time.


Most robots and programs that are marketed and sold on the Internet, showing the above results and also show a better performance! Not the "average". So their information is totally misleading to the average inexperienced Forex trader.

However, with my "HFT FX ROBOT SYSTEM", you will be able to see the results in "real time" of existing accounts. This is the most convincing proof that my hard work and automated Forex makes money. You will be able to see the results live. Every day from Monday to Friday, when Forex trading takes place. Not just look at data results on paper, which could even be fabricated to begin with. These data are too unreliable to trust.
Many vendors say their robots robots work with all Forex brokers and all currency pairs or other trading instruments in all market conditions. Without going into the details of this flawed approach, believe that both do not do this and is inefficient, sloppy and unprofitable. 





However, my "FX ROBOT SYSTEM HFT system" works better with the two most common pairs - GBPUSD and EURUSD - and the spreads are very low with most brokers, beginning from 0.5 points. The spread can be even as much as 3 pips, and the robot can still make money, but the best results are produced with fixed spreads of 1-2 pips. 

However, it is also possible to trade other pairs with low spreads, eg USDCHF, USDJPY, etc., but the best results are achieved with GBPUSD and especially EURUSD since most brokers have low spreads for this pair.

                  

THE "SYSTEM HFT FX ROBOT" METHOD OF OPERATION EXPLAINED

Allow me to introduce my latest and best Forex software created to help you make money through Forex faster, totally automated, working 24 hours a day, trading as you relax or rest. It is designed mainly for FX aficionados who have at least a basic knowledge about Forex and have already been negotiated. Of course, those who never traded before can buy it and with some instructions, use perfectly well.

There are some Forex robots on the market - which usually sell for $ 100 - $ 200 - and you will see them advertised all over the net today. However, most automated forex systems still lose money, as there are many unpredictable market conditions that the authors of the program did not foresee. It is similar to a computer "programmed chess player" that usually loses when a professional human chess player plays.
However, a Forex trading robot has a great advantage. 

A ROBOT never tires. You can "run" 24 hours a day. And not "play". And do not get excited. Never gets excited or upset when you have large operations or small businesses when you lose! With a good system, the robot do the "manual" work.

Systems that always make money - regardless of the ups and downs of currencies, conditions and market fluctuations are called "holy grails". Easy to fantasize, hard to get one that actually makes and brings you the pot of gold at the end of the rainbow. 

So do not be fooled by all the "hype" you hear. Most systems are not holy grails until operator with extensive experience and finesse, is always lurking the "risk factor"!

My "HFT FX ROBOT SYSTEM" is designed to eliminate the "risk factor", the fear of losing and the fact lose. Stay relaxed. Use the "HFT FX ROBOT SYSTEM" option on your platform and lie in bed and watch a movie. Or lie on the beach and read a book and log on to see how your "SYSTEM HFT FX ROBOT" is accruing trading profits.


                  

HOW DOES THE "SYSTEM HFT FX ROBOT"?

In Forex terminology the method which the "FX ROBOT SYSTEM HFT uses" is called "scalping". It's 100% legal, and often used by experienced traders to make money by taking a few pips profit at a time. 
My scalping method allows profitable operations, mainly to be open since the robot "knows" the direction of price movements in the next few seconds. The question is only "how much" it makes. 

Sometimes only 1 or 2 pips. But occasionally even 10 or 20 pips in just 1 to 10 to 60 seconds. So watch the trades carefully, since you might even not notice them! So rapid is the "HFT FX ROBOT SYSTEM".

                  

WHAT IS THE "SYSTEM HFT FX ROBOT" different from other expert advisors on the market?

Very good question! Why should I buy my EA, and not the other, much cheaper?


Consider this:
· Most of the EA are based on indicators, timeframes, trends, etc. which are very unreliable, it is pure supposition, that is why most of them lose.

· "HFT FX ROBOT SYSTEM", compare prices in real time and know the price movements in the next few seconds. Thus, we need not assume that you know the price before you open the trade.

· Most of the EA have very low Take Profit and Stop Loss high. "HFT FX ROBOT SYSTEM" has very high Take Profit and Stop Loss low.

· Most EA operations remain open for long, a few hours or days hoping the price goes in your favor, but usually does not. "HFT FX ROBOT SYSTEM" orders normally kept open for 5-30 seconds and shut profit. No wait, you know.

· Most of the EA require a high bail of $ 5,000 or more, and the bust sooner or later. With the "FX ROBOT SYSTEM HFT" You can start as low as $ 100 and grow their profits parabolic; see the accounts on the website.

· So you can get a cheap EA for $ 100, deposit $ 5,000 and lose almost everything, or you can buy the "HFT FX ROBOT SYSTEM", deposit $ 100 or $ 250 and make a lot of money very fast. The choice is yours!


             

You go with the crowd, like the crowd is lost!


 Sometimes you can get hundreds of trades a day, sometimes just a dozen, or only a few per day. However, as long as you can get on average more positive than negative in the long-term operation, you will be on the winning side. Just a matter of finding the right brokers and parameters. 

As you can see from the results in the different accounts of profits and accuracy vary depending on the broker. Some brokers are easier, some tougher, some almost impossible. However changing different parameters, trade only EURUSD or only GBPUSD, only buy or only sell or trade the economic news only times you will be able to increase its profitability. Nothing is really impossible!

Forex requires hard work and patience to succeed. However, when you succeed you can expect a high return on your investment.

                                   

WHY IS THE "SYSTEM HFT FX ROBOT" is so good?

Not only can analyze the prices in many markets and with "Swiss Watch" precision open and exit making a few pips profit, but can "think" operations. It can not be easily fooled by brokers, will not lose your money, will stop trading when there is something "fishy" in the market or brokers are trying to manipulate prices. It really is a genius and is the best Forex software ever created. 
Do not guess, not assumed. It's just "knows" how prices will behave, so it is very different from all the other robots that are sold on the Internet that try to "predict" the prices and most of the time they do wrong. The "SYSTEM HFT FX ROBOT" is an intelligent Forex EA.





Why am I sharing this ROBOT?

Some people ask me why I want to share this robot if it is so successful.

The answer is very simple: As my gains from trade of which I am very happy with is not affected I do not mind people using it.
Not just me, but I think everyone wants to earn more money, no matter how much you already have, like banks and securities of the company. The more you have, the more you want, right?
First, I want to sell only a limited number of robots (250 items), so no harm is done to me or other people who already bought. In addition, there are over 150 to 250, maybe even 350 brokers with MT4 platform worldwide, and I am not physically able to verify and configure all those accounts where the robot works perfectly.
I make $ 500 to $ 4,000 per day in some accounts a few different brokers and I'm pretty happy with my winnings and try to stay modest and keep a low profile. Now I can finally pursue my hobbies, travel around Asia and spend more time with my girlfriend.
I'm really happy that I started Forex trading and I did not give up after the first year when I lost almost all my life savings. Thanks to my persistence, hard work and constant observation of the markets that could create this and other profitable systems and do not have to operate it manually and spend my days and nights in front of the computer screen as he did before.

     

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with the "SYSTEM HFT FX ROBOT"!

Many people lose in forex, it is estimated that over 95% of traders therefore vanguard system are forex robot, for years I have researched and developed a unique strategy in forex trading, a strategy used by banks, mutual funds and other institutions worldwide, and is now at your fingertips is the high frequency trading


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